{"id":24692,"date":"2026-06-12T06:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-12T06:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/analizler\/hormuz-crisis-could-cost-turkiye-14-billion"},"modified":"2026-06-10T09:48:11","modified_gmt":"2026-06-10T09:48:11","slug":"hurmuz-krizi-turkiyeye-14-milyar-dolara-mal-olacak","status":"publish","type":"insight_page","link":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/analizler\/hurmuz-krizi-turkiyeye-14-milyar-dolara-mal-olacak\/","title":{"rendered":"H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye 14 milyar dolara mal olacak"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"report-hero\">\n\n\n          <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/app\/uploads\/2026\/06\/A-tanker-ship-carrying-LNG-fuel.jpg\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"\" class=\"report-hero-image\">\n      <div class=\"report-hero-grad\"><\/div>\n    \n\n  <div class=\"container\">\n\n          <div class=\"breadcrumbs\">\n            <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/\" class=\"crumb\">Anasayfa<\/a>\n        \n  <\/div>\n    \n    <div class=\"row\">\n      <div class=\"column\">\n\n        <div class=\"w-richtext\">\n                    <h1>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye 14 milyar dolara mal olacak<\/h1>\n                    <h3>T\u00fcrkiye, enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te ikisini ithal fosil yak\u0131tla kar\u015f\u0131lamaktad\u0131r. Fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131na olan bu y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131 2026\u2019da %30 oran\u0131nda art\u0131rabilir.<\/h3>\n                              <h4><p><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Mevcut diller: <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/latest-insights\/hormuz-crisis-could-cost-turkiye-14-billion\">English<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/h4>\n                  <\/div>\n\n\n                <div class=\"tag-wrapper\">\n                              <div class=\"herotag\">12 Haziran 2026<\/div>\n            <div class=\"tagbreak darktb\"><\/div>\n          \n\n          \n          \n                                                        \n              <div class=\"herotag\"><strong>6 dakika okuma s\u00fcresi<\/strong><\/div>\n              <div class=\"tagbreak darktb\"><\/div>\n            \n          \n                  <\/div>\n                                      <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/app\/uploads\/2026\/06\/TR_Hurmuz-krizi-Turkiyeye-14-milyar-dolara-mal-olacak-1.pdf\" class=\"button w-button\" target=\"_blank\">\n                <span class=\"fa\">\uf358<\/span>\n                \u0130ndir\n            <\/a>\n          \n        \n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n<div class=\"contents-section stickycontents\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n      <div class=\"contents-block row-contents on-page-sticky-menu\">\n\n      <\/div>\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n<div class=\"author-section\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n            \n        <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/people\/bahadir-sercan-gumus\/\" class=\"author-wrapper auth-link w-inline-block\">\n      <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/app\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bahadir-Sercan-Gumus-e1727087959871-150x150.webp\" loading=\"lazy\"  alt=\"\" class=\"quote-prof-img\">\n    <div class=\"quoteassoc\">\n    <strong>Bahad\u0131r Sercan G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f<br><\/strong>\n    Energy Analyst, T\u00fcrkiye<br\/>\n    <em>Ember<\/em>\n  <\/div>\n<\/a>\n\n                    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section sidebar-block padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n      <div class=\"column\">\n\n        \n                <div class=\"article-body w-richtext\">\n        <h2>\u00d6zet<\/h2>\n\n        <\/div>\n        \n        \n\n      <\/div>\n\n              <\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"container row-break\">\n      <div class=\"titleline break\"><\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><p><span style=\"font-weight: 300;\">K\u00fcresel fosil yak\u0131t krizleri ve fiyat dalgalanmalar\u0131 kar\u015f\u0131s\u0131nda, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin enerjideki y\u00fcksek d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u00fclke ekonomisi \u00fczerinde yap\u0131sal bir risk olu\u015fturmaya devam ediyor. <\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section quotes-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n      <div class=\"column content-column right\">\n                                                <div class=\"article-body w-richtext\">\n            <ul>\n<li><strong>ABD-\u0130srail ile \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkisiyle y\u00fckselen fosil yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna kadar T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131 14 milyar dolardan fazla art\u0131rabilir.<\/strong> Bu art\u0131\u015f\u0131n yakla\u015f\u0131k 8 milyar dolar\u0131 petrol ve 6 milyar dolardan fazlas\u0131 do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131ndan kaynaklan\u0131yor.<\/li>\n<li><strong>T\u00fcrkiye, son 10 y\u0131lda net enerji ithalat\u0131na y\u0131lda ortalama 42 milyar dolar \u00f6dedi.<\/strong> 2022&#8217;de Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131yla bu rakam 80 milyar dolar\u0131n \u00fczerine \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/li>\n<li><strong>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te ikisi ithal fosil yak\u0131tla kar\u015f\u0131lan\u0131rken,<\/strong> kaynak baz\u0131nda d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k do\u011falgazda %95, ham petrolde %83 ve k\u00f6m\u00fcrde %60 seviyesinde ger\u00e7ekle\u015fti.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Faturan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc elektrik \u00fcretiminin de\u011fil, fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n do\u011frudan t\u00fcketildi\u011fi sekt\u00f6rlerin \u00fczerinde y\u00fckseliyor.<\/strong> Karayolu ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131 2025&#8217;te toplam enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te birini olu\u015ftururken; sanayi, meskenler ve elektrik \u00fcretimi y\u00fczde 16&#8217;\u015far payla onu takip etti.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Ula\u015f\u0131m ve binalar gibi nihai t\u00fcketim sekt\u00f6rlerinde elektrifikasyonun h\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 fosil yak\u0131t talebini ve buna ba\u011fl\u0131 ithalat maliyetlerini kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak azaltabilir.<\/strong> T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki her 1 milyon elektrikli otomobil y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k 900 milyon dolar fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6nlerken, konutlar\u0131n y\u00fczde 10&#8217;unda \u0131s\u0131tma ve s\u0131cak su ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n do\u011falgaz yerine \u0131s\u0131 pompalar\u0131yla sa\u011flanmas\u0131 ise y\u0131ll\u0131k 1 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat\u0131n \u00f6n\u00fcne ge\u00e7ecektir.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n            <\/div>\n                          <\/div>\n      <div class=\"column quote-column right\">\n\n                            <div data-delay=\"4000\" data-animation=\"cross\" class=\"slider w-slider  single-quote \" data-autoplay=\"true\" data-easing=\"ease\" data-hide-arrows=\"false\" data-disable-swipe=\"false\" data-autoplay-limit=\"0\" data-nav-spacing=\"3\" data-duration=\"500\" data-infinite=\"true\">\n            <div class=\"mask w-slider-mask\">\n                              \n                  <div class=\"slidesmall w-clearfix w-slide\">\n                    <div class=\"slider-quote-block\">\n                      <p class=\"quotetext  revqt \">T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin fosil yak\u0131t ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 ithalat\u0131 ka\u00e7\u0131n\u0131lmaz k\u0131larken, k\u00fcresel kriz d\u00f6nemlerinde enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n da y\u00fckselmesine neden oluyor. Yenilenebilir enerjinin elektrik \u00fcretimindeki artan pay\u0131 bu ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 azaltma y\u00f6n\u00fcnde \u00f6nemli bir ba\u015flang\u0131\u00e7 sa\u011flasa da, ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck k\u0131sm\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan ula\u015f\u0131m ve binalar ba\u015fta olmak \u00fczere nihai t\u00fcketim sekt\u00f6rlerinde elektrifikasyon yoluyla temiz enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fcn h\u0131zlanmas\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin ithalat y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak hafifletecektir. Bu do\u011frultuda, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin COP31 ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan i\u015faret edilen 2035 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar %35 elektrifikasyon hedefinin Ulusal Enerji Plan\u0131&#8217;na dahil edilmesi kritik bir ad\u0131m olacakt\u0131r. Bu hamle, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin hem enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesini hem de k\u00fcresel iklim taahh\u00fctleriyle uyumunu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirmesine katk\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n                      <div class=\"tailshape  revts \"><\/div>\n                      <div class=\"author-wrapper\">\n                                                  <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/app\/uploads\/2024\/09\/Bahadir-Sercan-Gumus-e1727087959871-150x150.webp\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"\" class=\"quote-prof-img\">\n                                                                          <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/people\/bahadir-sercan-gumus\" class=\"quote-link\">\n                                                    <div class=\"quoteassoc\"><strong>Bahad\u0131r Sercan G\u00fcm\u00fc\u015f<br>\u200d<\/strong>Analyst, Ember<\/div>\n                                                  <\/a>\n                                                <\/div>\n                    <\/div>\n                  <\/div>\n                                          <\/div>\n                      <\/div>\n\n\n              <\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h2>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131 14 milyar dolar art\u0131rabilir<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"container row-break\">\n      <div class=\"titleline break\"><\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h4>ABD-\u0130srail ve \u0130ran sava\u015f\u0131 ile y\u00fckselen fosil yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna kadar T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin petrol ithalat maliyetinde 7,7 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir art\u0131\u015fa neden olabilir. Ayn\u0131 sebeple, do\u011falgaz ithalat faturas\u0131 da 6,4 milyar dolar artacak.<\/h4>\n<p>ABD-\u0130srail ile \u0130ran aras\u0131nda 28 \u015eubat 2026&#8217;da ba\u015flayan sava\u015f sonras\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Bo\u011faz\u0131 gemi ge\u00e7i\u015flerine kapat\u0131ld\u0131. K\u00fcresel petrol arz\u0131n\u0131n ve s\u0131v\u0131la\u015ft\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f do\u011falgaz (LNG) ticaretinin yakla\u015f\u0131k <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/about\/oil-security-and-emergency-response\/strait-of-hormuz\">%20&#8217;sinin ge\u00e7ti\u011fi bo\u011fazdaki<\/a> bu kesinti, k\u00fcresel enerji piyasalar\u0131nda arz g\u00fcvenli\u011fi endi\u015felerini artt\u0131rd\u0131 ve fosil yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fckselmesine neden oldu.<\/p>\n<p>Sava\u015f\u0131n ba\u015flad\u0131\u011f\u0131 tarihten 1 May\u0131s 2026&#8217;ya kadar Brent ham petrol %50, Avrupa do\u011falgaz ve k\u00f6m\u00fcr fiyatlar\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131yla %45 ve %3 art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir. Bu durum, fosil yak\u0131tlara y\u00fcksek oranda ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olan T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131 anlam\u0131na gelmi\u015ftir. Nitekim, sava\u015f etkilerinin ilk olarak hissedildi\u011fi Mart, Nisan ve May\u0131s aylar\u0131ndaki net enerji ithalat\u0131 bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine g\u00f6re <a href=\"https:\/\/ticaret.gov.tr\/istatistikler\/bakanlik-istatistikleri\/dis-ticaret-istatistikleri\/mayis-ayi-dis-ticaret-istatistikleri\/mayis-ayi-dis-ticaret-istatistik-tablolari\">yakla\u015f\u0131k 3 milyar dolar y\u00fckselerek<\/a> %26 oran\u0131nda art\u0131\u015f g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Fosil yak\u0131t fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 1 May\u0131s 2026 seviyesinde kalmas\u0131 halinde, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131 2025&#8217;e k\u0131yasla 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 sonuna kadar <a href=\"#metodoloji\">14 milyar dolar<\/a> artacakt\u0131r. Bu miktar, y\u0131ll\u0131k ithalat faturas\u0131nda yakla\u015f\u0131k %30&#8217;luk bir art\u0131\u015fa denk gelmektedir. S\u00f6z konusu ilave maliyetin yakla\u015f\u0131k 8 milyar dolarl\u0131k k\u0131sm\u0131 petrolden, 6 milyar dolardan fazla k\u0131sm\u0131 ise do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131ndan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section embed-block singlecolumn whites padding-small\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                        <div class=\"row\">\n\n                                          <div class=\"flourish-embed flourish-chart\" data-src=\"visualisation\/29187697?253986\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/29187697\/thumbnail\" width=\"100%\" alt=\"visualization\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n          <div class=\"row\">\n            <div class=\"column\">\n\n              \n\n\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h4>Petrol ithalat\u0131nda 7,7 milyar dolar ek maliyet olu\u015facak<\/h4>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin birincil enerji talebinin %22&#8217;sini kar\u015f\u0131layan <a href=\"#metodoloji\">ham petrolde d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k %83<\/a> seviyesindedir. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin ham petrol ithal etti\u011fi \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hmb.gov.tr\/haberler\/sayin-bakanimiz-mehmet-simsekin-londrada-yatirimci-toplantilari-kapsaminda-yaptigi-sunum\">Rusya %46 pay ile ilk s\u0131rada<\/a> yer almaktad\u0131r. Rusya&#8217;y\u0131 s\u0131ras\u0131yla Irak (%15), Kazakistan (%13) ve Suudi Arabistan (%7) takip etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Petroldeki y\u00fcksek ithalat ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131, k\u00fcresel fosil yak\u0131t krizlerinde enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131 da artt\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda toplam 16,1 milyar dolarl\u0131k ham petrol ithalat\u0131na ek olarak, motorin gibi petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri i\u00e7in de yakla\u015f\u0131k 20 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir fatura olu\u015fmu\u015ftur. H\u00fcrm\u00fcz Krizi&#8217;nin ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131ndan May\u0131s 2026&#8217;ya kadar petrol fiyatlar\u0131nda g\u00f6zlenen varil ba\u015f\u0131na ortalama 35 dolarl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye 7,7 milyar dolar ilave maliyet getirecektir.<\/p>\n<p>Petrol kaynakl\u0131 bu ek maliyetin \u00fc\u00e7te ikisi (5,2 milyar dolar) do\u011frudan karayolu ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131ndan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4>Meskenler do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131n\u0131 2 milyar dolar art\u0131racak<\/h4>\n<p>Petrolden sonra en b\u00fcy\u00fck harcama, do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131nda ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmektedir. Toplam enerji arz\u0131nda do\u011falgaz\u0131n pay\u0131 %26 olurken, bu miktar\u0131n <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epdk.gov.tr\/Detay\/Icerik\/3-0-95-1007\/dogal-gazaylik-sektor-raporu\">%94,7&#8217;si ithal edilmektedir<\/a>. 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda do\u011falgaz ithal edilen \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/veriler\/enerji-bagimliligi-gostergeleri\/\">en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay\u0131 %36 ile Rusya<\/a> alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Rusya&#8217;y\u0131, s\u0131ras\u0131yla Azerbaycan (%20), ABD (%16), Iran (%13) ve Cezayir (%8) takip etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin do\u011falgaz arz\u0131nda H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizinden etkilenen \u00fclkelere do\u011frudan ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck olsa da k\u00fcresel piyasalardaki fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131ndan etkilenmektedir. Ancak fiyat art\u0131\u015flar\u0131n\u0131n do\u011falgaz ithalat faturas\u0131 \u00fczerindeki etkileri tam olarak 2026 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n son aylar\u0131nda g\u00f6r\u00fclecektir. Bu durumun temel nedeni, ithalat anla\u015fmalar\u0131nda fiyatland\u0131rman\u0131n do\u011falgaz piyasalar\u0131n\u0131n yan\u0131nda petrol fiyatlar\u0131na da endeksli olmas\u0131 ve petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimlerin <a href=\"https:\/\/assets.kpmg.com\/content\/dam\/kpmgsites\/tr\/pdf\/2026\/sekt%C3%B6rel-bak%C4%B1%C5%9F-2024\/kpmg-aplus-enerji-sekt%C3%B6r-raporu.pdf?utm_source=chatgpt.com\">yakla\u015f\u0131k 9 ayl\u0131k bir gecikmeyle<\/a> do\u011falgaz ithalat maliyetlerine yans\u0131t\u0131lmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Bununla birlikte, fiyatlardaki y\u00fckseli\u015fin do\u011frudan do\u011falgaz piyasalar\u0131ndan kaynaklanan b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 enerji ithalat faturas\u0131na yans\u0131maya ba\u015flam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n 1 May\u0131s 2026&#8217;daki seviyesini korumas\u0131 halinde T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131 <a href=\"#metodoloji\">y\u0131l sonuna kadar 6,4 milyar dolar<\/a> artacakt\u0131r. Bu ilave maliyetin 2,3 milyar dolar\u0131 meskenlerin t\u00fcketiminden, 1,6 milyar dolar\u0131 elektrik \u00fcretiminden, 1,5 milyar dolar\u0131 ise sanayi faaliyetlerinden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Fiyatlar\u0131n y\u00fcksek seyrini s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmesi durumunda ise petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki art\u0131\u015f do\u011falgaz ithalat anla\u015fmalar\u0131na tam olarak yans\u0131yarak, ithalat kaynakl\u0131 ek maliyetin 2027 y\u0131l\u0131nda 13 milyar dolara ula\u015fmas\u0131na sebep olacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<h4>Elektrik \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in ithal k\u00f6m\u00fcre son be\u015f y\u0131lda 17 milyar dolar \u00f6dendi<\/h4>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin birincil enerji arz\u0131n\u0131n %26&#8217;s\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturan k\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fcn %60\u2019tan fazlas\u0131 ithal edilmektedir. 2021-2025 d\u00f6neminde toplam 27 milyar dolar de\u011ferinde ta\u015fk\u00f6m\u00fcr\u00fc ithal edilirken, sadece k\u00f6m\u00fcrden elektrik \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in \u00f6denen miktar 17 milyar dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Elektrik \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in k\u00f6m\u00fcr ithalat\u0131nda, ilk s\u0131rada ithalat\u0131n y\u00fczde 85\u2019ini kar\u015f\u0131layan Rusya yer al\u0131rken, onu %12 pay ile Kolombiya takip etmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizinin ard\u0131ndan k\u00f6m\u00fcr fiyatlar\u0131 Mart ay\u0131nda %30\u2019dan fazla y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Ancak, k\u00f6m\u00fcr arz\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015ftan do\u011frudan etkilenmemesi nedeniyle fiyatlar, Nisan\u2019da sava\u015f \u00f6ncesi seviyelere yak\u0131n de\u011ferlere gerilemi\u015ftir. B\u00f6ylece 1 May\u0131s 2026 itibariyle fiyat art\u0131\u015f\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k %3 ile s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu art\u0131\u015f, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131 toplam k\u00f6m\u00fcr ithalat\u0131nda 95 milyon dolar ilave maliyet anlam\u0131na gelmektedir.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h2>T\u00fcrkiye enerji ithalat\u0131na y\u0131lda ortalama 42 milyar dolar harc\u0131yor<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"container row-break\">\n      <div class=\"titleline break\"><\/div>\n\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h4>T\u00fcrkiye, enerjisinin \u00fc\u00e7te ikisini ithalat yoluyla kar\u015f\u0131larken, sadece 2025&#8217;te net enerji ithalat\u0131 i\u00e7in 47 milyar dolar \u00f6dedi. Bu miktar\u0131n %47&#8217;si petrol, %43&#8217;\u00fc do\u011falgaz ve %10&#8217;u k\u00f6m\u00fcr ithalat\u0131ndan kaynakland\u0131. Ula\u015f\u0131m ve binalar gibi fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n do\u011frudan t\u00fcketildi\u011fi sekt\u00f6rlerde elektrifikasyonun art\u0131r\u0131lmas\u0131 ithalat faturas\u0131nda kal\u0131c\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fc\u015f sa\u011flayabilir.<\/h4>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye, 2024&#8217;te enerji talebinin %67&#8217;sini ithal fosil yak\u0131tlarla kar\u015f\u0131lam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. 2015-2024 d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye, net enerji ithalat\u0131na y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama 42 milyar dolar \u00f6derken, bu tutar ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nem i\u00e7erisindeki gayrisafi yurti\u00e7i has\u0131lan\u0131n (GSYH) %4,5&#8217;ine denk gelmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<p>Ancak enerjide y\u00fcksek d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k, 2022 y\u0131l\u0131ndaki gibi k\u00fcresel fosil yak\u0131t krizleri ile birle\u015fti\u011finde enerji ithalat faturas\u0131nda s\u0131\u00e7ramaya yol a\u00e7maktad\u0131r. 2022&#8217;de net enerji ithalat\u0131 Rusya-Ukrayna sava\u015f\u0131n\u0131n etkisi ile 80 milyar dolar\u0131 a\u015farak tarihi zirvesine ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu maliyetin GSYH i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 ise son 10 y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamay\u0131 neredeyse ikiye katlayarak %8,6&#8217;ya y\u00fckselmi\u015ftir. Ayn\u0131 zamanda 2022&#8217;de tarihteki en y\u00fcksek \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc cari a\u00e7\u0131\u011f\u0131n (47 milyar dolar) kaydedilmesi, enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi i\u00e7in ne kadar \u00f6nemli bir risk unsuru oldu\u011funu bir kez daha g\u00f6stermi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section embed-block singlecolumn whites padding-small\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                        <div class=\"row\">\n\n                                          <div class=\"flourish-embed flourish-chart\" data-src=\"visualisation\/29197562?253986\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/29197562\/thumbnail\" width=\"100%\" alt=\"visualization\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n          <div class=\"row\">\n            <div class=\"column\">\n\n              \n\n\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h4>Benzer \u00fclkelere k\u0131yasla T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n milli gelire oran\u0131 daha y\u00fcksek<\/h4>\n<p>Enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;ye \u00f6zg\u00fc bir durum de\u011fildir. <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/latest-insights\/energy-security-in-an-insecure-world\/\">K\u00fcresel n\u00fcfusun d\u00f6rtte \u00fc\u00e7\u00fc, net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131<\/a> \u00fclkelerde ya\u015famaktad\u0131r. Ancak, enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n ekonomi \u00fczerindeki bask\u0131s\u0131 \u00fclkeler aras\u0131nda farkl\u0131l\u0131k g\u00f6stermektedir.<\/p>\n<p>2015-2024 d\u00f6neminde T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin net enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nem i\u00e7erisindeki milli gelirine oran\u0131 %4,5 olarak ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmi\u015ftir. Bu oranla T\u00fcrkiye, G20 \u00fclkeleri aras\u0131nda G\u00fcney Kore&#8217;nin (%5,1) ard\u0131ndan ikinci s\u0131rada yer alm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu durum, enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye ekonomisi \u00fczerinde olu\u015fturdu\u011fu y\u00fck\u00fcn sava\u015f gibi ge\u00e7ici fiyat \u015foklar\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6tesinde yap\u0131sal bir s\u00fcreklilik ta\u015f\u0131d\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 ortaya koymaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section embed-block singlecolumn whites padding-small\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                        <div class=\"row\">\n\n                                          <div class=\"flourish-embed flourish-chart\" data-src=\"visualisation\/29257092?253986\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/29257092\/thumbnail\" width=\"100%\" alt=\"visualization\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n          <div class=\"row\">\n            <div class=\"column\">\n\n              \n\n\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h4>Enerji faturas\u0131nda en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay karayolu ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131nda<\/h4>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin 2025&#8217;teki net enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131n %47&#8217;sini petrol, %43&#8217;\u00fcn\u00fc do\u011falgaz ve %10&#8217;unu k\u00f6m\u00fcr ithalat\u0131 olu\u015fturmu\u015ftur. Faturadaki en b\u00fcy\u00fck pay, 15 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat faturas\u0131 ile tek ba\u015f\u0131na toplam\u0131n neredeyse \u00fc\u00e7te birine denk gelen karayolu ula\u015f\u0131m\u0131na aittir. Karayolunu, 8 milyar dolarl\u0131k ithalat ile ikinci en y\u00fcksek paya sahip (%17) sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fc izlemi\u015ftir. Sanayi sekt\u00f6r\u00fcn\u00fc ise %16&#8217;\u015far pay ile meskenler ve elektrik \u00fcretimi takip etmi\u015ftir.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section embed-block singlecolumn whites padding-small\">\n    <div class=\"container\">\n                        <div class=\"row\">\n\n                                          <div class=\"flourish-embed flourish-chart\" data-src=\"visualisation\/29187610?253986\"><script src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/resources\/embed.js\"><\/script><noscript><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/public.flourish.studio\/visualisation\/29187610\/thumbnail\" width=\"100%\" alt=\"visualization\" \/><\/noscript><\/div>\n                                    <\/div>\n          <div class=\"row\">\n            <div class=\"column\">\n\n              \n\n\n            <\/div>\n          <\/div>\n                        <\/div>\n  <\/div>\n\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h4>Elektrifikasyon T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak azaltabilir<\/h4>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak azalt\u0131lmas\u0131nda, fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n do\u011frudan kullan\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 nihai t\u00fcketim sekt\u00f6rlerinde elektrifikasyon \u00f6nemli bir rol oynayacakt\u0131r. Elektrik \u00fcretiminde yenilenebilir enerjinin pay\u0131 2015&#8217;teki %33 seviyesinden, <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/data\/electricity-data-explorer\/\">2025&#8217;te %43&#8217;e ula\u015fm\u0131\u015f<\/a> olsa da, elektrik \u00fcretiminin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131 i\u00e7indeki pay\u0131 yaln\u0131zca %16&#8217;d\u0131r. Geriye kalan faturan\u0131n b\u00fcy\u00fck b\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc, fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n do\u011frudan t\u00fcketildi\u011fi ula\u015ft\u0131rma ve binalar gibi sekt\u00f6rlerden kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla bu sekt\u00f6rlerde elektrifikasyonun yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131, fosil yak\u0131tlar\u0131n do\u011frudan kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 azaltarak ithalat faturas\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 \u015fekilde d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrecektir. Elektrifikasyon oran\u0131n\u0131n artmas\u0131, ayn\u0131 zamanda yenilenebilir kaynaklardan \u00fcretilen elektri\u011fin nihai enerji t\u00fcketim noktalar\u0131nda etkin kullan\u0131m\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayarak temiz enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn\u00fc h\u0131zland\u0131racak ve enerji verimlili\u011fini art\u0131racakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>\u0130thalat\u0131n tek ba\u015f\u0131na en b\u00fcy\u00fck kalemini olu\u015fturan karayolunda elektrifikasyon, temiz enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcnde en y\u00fcksek potansiyeli ta\u015f\u0131yan alan olarak \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda sat\u0131lan yeni otomobillerin <a href=\"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/analizler\/turkiye-elektrikli-otomobil-satislarinda-avrupa-da-dorduncu\/\">%17&#8217;si<\/a>ni elektrikli ara\u00e7lar olu\u015fturdu ve 2026 Nisan ay\u0131 itibariyle \u00fclkedeki toplam elektrikli ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epdk.gov.tr\/Detay\/Icerik\/3-0-234-1040\/enerji-donusumusarj-agi-altyapisi-projeksiyonu-\">420 binin \u00fczerine<\/a> \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131.<\/p>\n<p>Enerji Piyasas\u0131 D\u00fczenleme Kurumu, 2035 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;de elektrikli ara\u00e7 say\u0131s\u0131n\u0131n <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epdk.gov.tr\/Detay\/Icerik\/3-0-234-1040\/enerji-donusumusarj-agi-altyapisi-projeksiyonu\">5 milyonu a\u015faca\u011f\u0131n\u0131<\/a> \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir. Bu \u00f6l\u00e7ekteki bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm enerji ithalat\u0131nda kayda de\u011fer bir tasarruf sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r. \u00d6yle ki, T\u00fcrkiye yollar\u0131ndaki her 1 milyon elektrikli otomobil, y\u0131lda yakla\u015f\u0131k <a href=\"#metodoloji\">900 milyon dolar<\/a> fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131n\u0131n \u00f6nlenmesi anlam\u0131na gelmektedir.<\/p>\n<p>Di\u011fer yandan, karayolu ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131n %40&#8217;\u0131 otomobillerden, %60&#8217;\u0131 ise kamyon, \u00e7ekici, otob\u00fcs ve kamyonet gibi ta\u015f\u0131tlardan kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Bu da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m, otomobillerde ba\u015flayan elektrifikasyon s\u00fcrecinin a\u011f\u0131r ticari ara\u00e7lar\u0131 da kapsayacak \u015fekilde geni\u015fletilmesinin, ithalat maliyetlerini d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in b\u00fcy\u00fck bir potansiyel sundu\u011funu ortaya koymaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Benzer bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm f\u0131rsat\u0131 meskenlerde de mevcuttur. Konutlardaki do\u011falgaz t\u00fcketimi, sadece 2025 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131na tek ba\u015f\u0131na 7,2 milyar dolarl\u0131k bir y\u00fck getirmi\u015ftir. Meskenlerdeki do\u011falgaz talebinin <a href=\"https:\/\/veriportali.tuik.gov.tr\/tr\/press\/53805\">%90&#8217;\u0131 \u0131s\u0131nma ve s\u0131cak su t\u00fcketiminden<\/a> kaynaklanmaktad\u0131r. Is\u0131 pompalar\u0131, \u0131s\u0131tma ve s\u0131cak su ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131 ithal do\u011falgaz yerine yenilenebilir elektrikle, \u00fcstelik en az <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/reports\/the-future-of-heat-pumps\/executive-summary\">\u00fc\u00e7te bir oran\u0131nda daha az enerji<\/a> kullanarak kar\u015f\u0131layabilir. T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;deki <a href=\"https:\/\/nip.tuik.gov.tr\/?value=KonutIstatistikleri\">25 milyon mesken<\/a> genelinde elde edilecek %10&#8217;luk s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 bir d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm oran\u0131 dahi, y\u0131ll\u0131k <a href=\"#metodoloji\">enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131 1 milyar dolar\u0131n<\/a> \u00fczerinde azaltabilir.<\/p>\n<p>Bununla birlikte, temiz enerjiye dayal\u0131 elektrifikasyonun yaratt\u0131\u011f\u0131 tasarruf tek seferlik bir etkiyle s\u0131n\u0131rl\u0131 kalmay\u0131p her y\u0131l kendini tekrar eden kal\u0131c\u0131 bir kazan\u0131m sa\u011flamaktad\u0131r. Nitekim, k\u00fcresel s\u0131cakl\u0131k art\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131 1,5 \u00b0C ile s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmay\u0131 hedefleyen uluslararas\u0131 iklim senaryolar\u0131 2035 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar elektrik enerjisinin toplam <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irena.org\/-\/media\/Files\/IRENA\/Agency\/Publication\/2026\/May\/IRENA_OUT_TAFF_RE_electrification_grids_2026.pdf\">nihai t\u00fcketimdeki pay\u0131n\u0131n %35&#8217;e \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131n\u0131<\/a> \u00f6ng\u00f6rmektedir. Bu do\u011frultuda, COP31 Ba\u015fkanl\u0131\u011f\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan ortaya konulan ayn\u0131 hedefin, 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda g\u00fcncellenmesi beklenen Ulusal Enerji Plan\u0131\u2019nda da benimsenmesi, T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji ithalat faturas\u0131n\u0131 kal\u0131c\u0131 olarak d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmesine katk\u0131 sa\u011flarken, k\u00fcresel iklim hedefleriyle de uyumu g\u00fc\u00e7lendirecektir.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"container row-break\">\n      <div class=\"rowbreak\"><\/div>\n    <\/div>\n\n\n<a id=\"metodoloji\" name=\"metodoloji\" class=\"section-anchor-point\"><\/a>\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h2>Ekler<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h3><strong>Metodoloji<\/strong><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n            <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><p>\u00dclkelerin milli gelirleri cari fiyatlar ile D\u00fcnya Bankas\u0131 verilerinden, enerji ithalat\u0131na \u00f6denen net mali miktar <a href=\"https:\/\/comtradeplus.un.org\/\">Birle\u015fmi\u015f Milletler COMTRADE<\/a> ve <a href=\"https:\/\/data-explorer.oecd.org\/vis?df[ds]=dsDisseminateFinalDMZ&amp;df[id]=DSD_BIMTS%40DF_BIMTS_HS2017_2D&amp;df[ag]=OECD.SDD.TPS&amp;dq=AUS%2BAUT%2BBEL%2BCAN%2BCHL%2BCOL%2BCRI%2BCZE%2BDNK%2BEST%2BFIN%2BFRA%2BDEU%2BGRC%2BHUN%2BISL%2BIRL%2BISR%2BITA%2BJPN%2BKOR%2BLVA%2BLTU%2BLUX%2BMEX%2BNLD%2BNZL%2BNOR%2BPOL%2BPRT%2BSVK%2BSVN%2BESP%2BSWE%2BCHE%2BGBR%2BUSA%2BAFG%2BALB%2BDZA%2BAGO%2BAND%2BATG%2BARG%2BARM%2BABW%2BAZE%2BBHS%2BBHR%2BBGD%2BBRB%2BBLR%2BBLZ%2BBEN%2BBMU%2BBTN%2BBOL%2BBIH%2BBWA%2BBRA%2BBRN%2BBGR%2BBFA%2BBDI%2BCPV%2BKHM%2BCMR%2BCAF%2BTCD%2BCHN%2BCOM%2BCOG%2BCIV%2BHRV%2BCUB%2BCYP%2BPRK%2BCOD%2BDJI%2BDMA%2BDOM%2BECU%2BEGY%2BSLV%2BGNQ%2BERI%2BSWZ%2BETH%2BFJI%2BPYF%2BGAB%2BGMB%2BGEO%2BGHA%2BGRL%2BGRD%2BGTM%2BGIN%2BGUY%2BHTI%2BHND%2BHKG%2BIND%2BIDN%2BIRN%2BIRQ%2BJAM%2BJOR%2BKAZ%2BKEN%2BKIR%2BKWT%2BKGZ%2BLAO%2BLBN%2BLSO%2BLBR%2BLBY%2BMAC%2BMDG%2BMWI%2BMYS%2BMDV%2BMLI%2BMLT%2BMHL%2BMRT%2BMUS%2BFSM%2BMDA%2BMNG%2BMNE%2BMSR%2BMAR%2BMOZ%2BMMR%2BNAM%2BNRU%2BNPL%2BNCL%2BNIC%2BNER%2BNGA%2BMKD%2BOMN%2BPAK%2BPLW%2BPSE%2BPAN%2BPNG%2BPRY%2BPER%2BPHL%2BQAT%2BROU%2BRUS%2BRWA%2BKNA%2BLCA%2BVCT%2BWSM%2BSTP%2BSAU%2BSEN%2BSRB%2BSYC%2BSLE%2BSGP%2BSLB%2BZAF%2BSSD%2BLKA%2BSDN%2BSUR%2BSYR%2BTWN%2BTJK%2BTZA%2BTHA%2BTLS%2BTGO%2BTON%2BTTO%2BTUN%2BTKM%2BTUV%2BUGA%2BUKR%2BARE%2BURY%2BUZB%2BVUT%2BVEN%2BVNM%2BYEM%2BZMB%2BZWE%2BW%2BWXD%2BTUR.JPN..C..HS17_27.A.USD_EXC.&amp;pd=2024%2C2024&amp;to[TIME_PERIOD]=false&amp;vw=tb\">OECD Data Explorer<\/a> veri setinden elde edilmi\u015ftir. Avrupa \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in enerji ithalat\u0131n\u0131n GDP&#8217;ye oran\u0131 verileri <a href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/eurostat\/databrowser\/view\/tipsen10\/default\/table?lang=en\">EUROSTAT<\/a> verilerinden elde edilmi\u015ftir. T\u00fcrkiye i\u00e7in net enerji ithalat\u0131 T\u00dc\u0130K D\u0131\u015f Ticaret \u0130statistikleri alt\u0131nda bulunan 27. fas\u0131l verilerinden, \u00c7in i\u00e7in enerji ithalat\u0131 <a href=\"http:\/\/stats.customs.gov.cn\/indexEn\">\u00c7in Halk Cumhuriyeti G\u00fcmr\u00fck \u0130daresi<\/a> taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan ayn\u0131 say\u0131l\u0131 fas\u0131l alt\u0131ndaki verilerden al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dclkelerin enerjide d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k oranlar\u0131 Avrupa \u00fclkeleri i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/ec.europa.eu\/eurostat\/databrowser\/view\/nrg_ind_id__custom_19989435\">EUROSTAT<\/a>, an\u0131lan di\u011fer \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iea.org\/data-and-statistics\/data-tools\/energy-statistics-data-browser?country=WORLD&amp;fuel=Energy%20supply&amp;indicator=TESbySource\">IEA verilerinden<\/a> elde edilmi\u015ftir. \u00dclkelerin net enerji harcamalar\u0131n\u0131n milli gelirlerine oranlar\u0131n\u0131n hesaplanmas\u0131nda; net enerji ithalat\u00e7\u0131s\u0131 olan G20 \u00fclkeleri de\u011ferlendirmeye al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. \u00dclke baz\u0131nda 2015-2024 y\u0131llar\u0131 aras\u0131ndaki (10 y\u0131l) net ithalat miktar\u0131n\u0131n milli gelirlere oranlar\u0131n\u0131n ortalamas\u0131 al\u0131narak s\u0131ralama yap\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00fcrkiye k\u00f6m\u00fcr ithalat miktar\u0131 ve bu ithalata \u00f6denen miktar <a href=\"https:\/\/veriportali.tuik.gov.tr\/en\/press\/49693\/metadata\">T\u00dc\u0130K Kat\u0131 Yak\u0131t \u0130statistikleri<\/a> ve <a href=\"https:\/\/veriportali.tuik.gov.tr\/en\/press\/58236\">T\u00dc\u0130K D\u0131\u015f Ticaret \u0130statistikleri&#8217;nden<\/a> elde edilmi\u015ftir. Ham petrolde yerli \u00fcretim ETKB&#8217;nin <a href=\"https:\/\/enerji.gov.tr\/haber-detay?id=31700\">7 Ocak 2026 tarihli haberinden<\/a> al\u0131nm\u0131\u015f ve ayn\u0131 y\u0131l EPDK petrol piyasas\u0131 ayl\u0131k raporlar\u0131ndaki toplam ham petrol t\u00fcketimi ve ithalat\u0131 verileri kullan\u0131larak toplam i\u00e7erisindeki yerlilik hesaplanm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Do\u011falgaz, ham petrol ve petrol \u00fcr\u00fcnleri ithalat miktar\u0131 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epdk.gov.tr\/Detay\/Icerik\/3-0-95\/dogal-gazaylik-sektor-raporu\">EPDK&#8217;n\u0131n ayl\u0131k sekt\u00f6r raporlar\u0131ndan<\/a>, mali de\u011ferleri ise UN COMTRADE web sitesinden 27. fas\u0131l alt\u0131ndaki ilgili alt fas\u0131llardan ve Hazine ve Maliye Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hmb.gov.tr\/haberler\/sayin-bakanimiz-mehmet-simsekin-londrada-yatirimci-toplantilari-kapsaminda-yaptigi-sunum\">yat\u0131r\u0131mc\u0131 sunumundan<\/a> al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Elde edilen mali veriler, ETKB taraf\u0131ndan her y\u0131l yay\u0131nlanan Ulusal Enerji Denge Tablosu kullan\u0131larak nihai t\u00fcketime g\u00f6re ve kaynak baz\u0131nda olmak \u00fczere alt k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mlara ayr\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Kaynak baz\u0131nda toplam ithalat\u0131n mali de\u011feri, enerjinin nihai t\u00fcketimdeki oranlar\u0131na g\u00f6re sekt\u00f6rlere ve alt k\u0131r\u0131l\u0131mlar\u0131na da\u011f\u0131t\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f kaynakl\u0131 ilave maliyetinin hesaplanmas\u0131nda e\u015fik tarih olarak 28 \u015eubat 2026 al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu tarihteki brent petrol, Avrupa do\u011falgaz fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00f6stergesi olan Dutch TTF ve Avrupa k\u00f6m\u00fcr fiyatlar\u0131 g\u00f6stergesi olan API2 k\u00f6m\u00fcr fiyatlar\u0131n\u0131n sava\u015f etkileri nedeniyle 1 May\u0131s tarihindeki fiyatlara ula\u015ft\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Buna g\u00f6re son 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalama t\u00fcketimler yak\u0131t baz\u0131nda belirlenerek 2026 y\u0131l\u0131nda da bu t\u00fcketimin ger\u00e7ekle\u015fece\u011fi varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ocak ve \u015eubat aylar\u0131 hari\u00e7 tutularak ilave maliyet hesab\u0131 y\u0131l\u0131n geri kalan 10 ay\u0131 i\u00e7in ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftirilmi\u015ftir. Do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131n\u0131n ilave maliyetinin hesaplanmas\u0131nda 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 sonunda T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin do\u011falgaz ithalat\u0131ndaki t\u00fcm kontratlar\u0131n\u0131n a\u011f\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 ortalama hesab\u0131na g\u00f6re %60 oran\u0131nda TTF ve %40 oran\u0131nda brent petrol endeksli oldu\u011fu kabul edilmi\u015ftir. Brent petrol fiyatlar\u0131ndaki de\u011fi\u015fimin do\u011falgaz al\u0131m s\u00f6zle\u015fmelerindeki fiyatlara 9 ay geriden yans\u0131t\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Ham petrolde yerli \u00fcretim verisi 2025 y\u0131l\u0131 i\u00e7in <a href=\"https:\/\/enerji.gov.tr\/haber-detay?id=31700\">47,9 milyon varil<\/a> olarak ETKB duyurusundan, toplam ham petrol ithalat\u0131 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.epdk.gov.tr\/Detay\/Icerik\/3-0-104-1008\/petrolaylik-sektor-raporu\">31,9 milyon ton<\/a> olarak EPDK ayl\u0131k sekt\u00f6r raporlar\u0131ndan al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ham petrolde ton biriminden varile d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm i\u00e7in OPEC taraf\u0131ndan tavsiye edilen <a href=\"https:\/\/www.jodidata.org\/_resources\/files\/events\/joint-apec-jodi-training-workshop-on-oil-and-gas-statistics\/04.-conversion-factors-volume-to-mass-and-vice-versa.pdf\">7,33 d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm fakt\u00f6r\u00fc<\/a> kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n tasarruflar\u0131n\u0131n hesaplanmas\u0131nda T\u00dc\u0130K taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/veriportali.tuik.gov.tr\/tr\/press\/54047\">Trafig\u0306e Kay\u0131tl\u0131 Otomobillerin Yak\u0131t Cinsine Go\u0308re Dag\u0306\u0131l\u0131m\u0131<\/a>,&#8221; &#8220;Motorlu Kara Tas\u0327\u0131t Say\u0131s\u0131&#8221; ve Karayollar\u0131 Genel M\u00fcd\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011f\u00fc taraf\u0131ndan yay\u0131mlanan &#8220;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.kgm.gov.tr\/SiteCollectionDocuments\/KGMdocuments\/Yayinlar\/YayinPdf\/KarayoluUlasimIstatistikleri2024.pdf\">Karayolu Ula\u015f\u0131m \u0130statistikleri<\/a>&#8221; kullan\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Tasarrufun hesaplanmas\u0131nda ortalama bir benzinli, motorin ve LPG yak\u0131tl\u0131 otomobilin 100 km&#8217;de s\u0131ras\u0131yla 7,5 litre, 5,5 litre ve 9 litre yak\u0131t t\u00fcketti\u011fi, buna kar\u015f\u0131l\u0131k ortalama bir elektrikli arac\u0131n t\u00fcketiminin 18 kWh oldu\u011fu varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n engelledi\u011fi ithalat miktar\u0131n\u0131n hesaplanmas\u0131nda, elektrikli ara\u00e7lar taraf\u0131ndan yap\u0131lan toplam km&#8217;nin mevcut ara\u00e7 park\u0131ndaki yak\u0131t t\u00fcrlerine g\u00f6re da\u011f\u0131l\u0131m g\u00f6zetilerek i\u00e7ten yanmal\u0131 ara\u00e7lar ile yap\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Akaryak\u0131tlar\u0131n ithalat maliyetleri Platts European Market Scan, CIF MED (Genova\/Lavera) ba\u015fl\u0131\u011f\u0131 alt\u0131ndaki Nisan 2026 ortalama fiyatlar\u0131d\u0131r. Elektrikli ara\u00e7lar\u0131n elektrik t\u00fcketimlerinin %100 oran\u0131nda yerli enerji kaynaklar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<p>Konutlarda do\u011falgaz\u0131n y\u0131ll\u0131k t\u00fcketimi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.gazbir.org.tr\/GAZBIR-2024-Yili-Dogal-Gaz-Dagitim-Sektoru-Raporu\">GAZB\u0130R 2024 Y\u0131l\u0131 Sekt\u00f6r Rapor&#8217;undan<\/a> son 5 y\u0131ll\u0131k ortalamaya g\u00f6re 942,8 m3 olarak al\u0131nm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Do\u011falgaz\u0131n nihai t\u00fcketime g\u00f6re oranlar\u0131 ayn\u0131 raporda %75&#8217;lik pay ile alan \u0131s\u0131tmas\u0131 ve %15&#8217;lik pay ile s\u0131cak su eldesi olarak belirtilmi\u015ftir. T\u00fcketilen do\u011falgaz miktar\u0131ndaki enerji e\u015fde\u011ferinin tamam\u0131n\u0131n \u0131s\u0131 pompalar\u0131 taraf\u0131ndan yerli kaynaklardan \u00fcretilen elektrik t\u00fcketilerek kar\u015f\u0131land\u0131\u011f\u0131 varsay\u0131lm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<div class=\"section text-block whites padding-small\">\n  <div class=\"container\">\n    <div class=\"row\">\n                  <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><h3><strong>Katk\u0131da bulunanlar<\/strong><\/h3>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n            <div class=\"column\">\n                          <div class=\"w-richtext\"><p>Ufuk Alparslan, Burcu \u00dcnal Kurban, Reynaldo Dizon, Eva Mbengue, Alison Candlin<\/p>\n<h5>Cover image<\/h5>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.gettyimages.co.uk\/search\/2\/image?artistexact=Alexander%20Farnsworth\">Alexander Farnsworth<\/a>\u00a0\/ Getty Images<\/p>\n<\/div>\n        \n              <\/div>\n                <\/div>\n\n\n  <\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>T\u00fcrkiye, enerji ihtiyac\u0131n\u0131n \u00fc\u00e7te ikisini ithal fosil yak\u0131tla kar\u015f\u0131lamaktad\u0131r. Fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131na olan bu y\u00fcksek ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131k, H\u00fcrm\u00fcz krizi nedeniyle T\u00fcrkiye&#8217;nin enerji faturas\u0131n\u0131 2026&#8217;da %30 oran\u0131nda art\u0131rabilir.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":24668,"parent":6380,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","template":"","insight_type":[376],"explore":[34,235],"class_list":["post-24692","insight_page","type-insight_page","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","insight_type-analysis","explore-europe","explore-turkiye"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight_page\/24692"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight_page"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/insight_page"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=24692"}],"up":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/6380"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/24668"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=24692"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"insight_type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/insight_type?post=24692"},{"taxonomy":"explore","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/explore?post=24692"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}