{"id":6891,"date":"2023-12-11T07:32:00","date_gmt":"2023-12-11T07:32:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/insight\/turkiye-can-expand-solar-by-120gw-through-rooftops"},"modified":"2025-03-13T18:47:13","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T18:47:13","slug":"catilarda-120-gwtan-fazla-potansiyel-mevcut","status":"publish","type":"insight_page","link":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/analizler\/catilarda-120-gwtan-fazla-potansiyel-mevcut\/","title":{"rendered":"\u00c7at\u0131larda 120 GW\u2019tan fazla potansiyel mevcut"},"content":{"rendered":"
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\u00c7at\u0131larda 120 GW\u2019tan fazla potansiyel mevcut<\/h1>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131na kurulabilecek g\u00fcne\u015f santrali potansiyeli \u00fclkenin toplam g\u00fcne\u015f kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn on kat\u0131na yak\u0131n. Bu potansiyel ile toplam elektrik t\u00fcketiminin %45\u2019ini kar\u015f\u0131lamak m\u00fcmk\u00fcn.<\/p>\n

Mevcut diller: English<\/a><\/p>\n<\/h4>\n <\/div>\n\n\n

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11 Aral\u0131k 2023<\/div>\n
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27 dakika okuma s\u00fcresi<\/strong><\/div>\n
<\/div>\n \n \n <\/div>\n \n \uf358<\/span>\n Raporu indirin\n <\/a>\n \n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n
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\n Ufuk Alparslan
<\/strong>\n Regional Lead\n Ember <\/em>\n <\/div>\n<\/a>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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\u0130\u00e7indekiler<\/h3>\n
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<\/div>\n Y\u00f6netici \u00f6zeti<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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<\/div>\n 1 | Mevcut durum<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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<\/div>\n 2 | Potansiyel<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n \u00c7at\u0131 GES potansiyelinin hesaplanmas\u0131<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n 120 GW\u2019tan fazla potansiyel<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n A\u00e7\u0131lar\u0131n g\u00fcne\u015ften elektrik \u00fcretimine etkisi<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n Elektrik t\u00fcketiminin %45\u2019ine ula\u015fan potansiyel<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n Kapasite hedeflerinde \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131n yeri<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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<\/div>\n 3 | K\u00fcresel \u00f6rnekler<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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<\/div>\n Sonu\u00e7<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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<\/div>\n Ek Materyal<\/a>\n
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\u00d6nemli Noktalar<\/h2>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n \n
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120 GW<\/div>\n <\/div>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131ndaki g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin teknik potansiyeli<\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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%45<\/div>\n <\/div>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131n toplam elektrik t\u00fcketimini kar\u015f\u0131lama potansiyeli<\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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$3,6 milyar<\/div>\n <\/div>\n
T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131n mesken tarifelerindeki s\u00fcbvansiyon y\u00fck\u00fcn\u00fc d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrme potansiyeli<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Hakk\u0131nda<\/h2>\n

Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmada T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin y\u00fcksek \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcn\u00fcrl\u00fckl\u00fc uydu g\u00f6r\u00fcnt\u00fcleri analiz edilerek afet b\u00f6lgesi ilan edilen 11 il d\u0131\u015f\u0131ndaki \u00e7at\u0131larda kurulabilecek g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi potansiyeli hesaplanmaktad\u0131r. \u0130llere g\u00f6re hesap edilen kapasite ve elektrik \u00fcretimi potansiyeli ile elektrik t\u00fcketiminin ne \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde kar\u015f\u0131lanabilece\u011fi g\u00f6sterilmektedir. D\u00fcnyada \u00e7at\u0131larda g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisine ili\u015fkin politikalara ve T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de elektrik tarifelerindeki s\u00fcbvansiyonlara dikkat \u00e7ekilerek T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye uygun politika \u00f6nerileri sunulmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n \n \n\n <\/div>\n\n

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Medyada \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kanlar<\/h3>\n


<\/p>\n\n \n Anadolu Ajans\u0131\n \"\"\n <\/a>\n \n BBC\n \"\"\n <\/a>\n \n Sabah\n \"\"\n <\/a>\n \n PV Magazine\n \"\"\n <\/a>\n \n PV Tech\n \"\"\n <\/a>\n \n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n

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Y\u00f6netici \u00f6zeti<\/h3>\n

G\u00fcne\u015fteki hedeflere giden yol \u00e7at\u0131lardan da ge\u00e7iyor<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Arazi gereksiniminin olmamas\u0131 ve t\u00fcketimle ayn\u0131 noktada \u00fcretim sa\u011flamas\u0131 nedeniyle enerji politikalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan \u00f6nem ta\u015f\u0131yan \u00e7at\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00fcne\u015f santralleri, s\u0131n\u0131rda karbon d\u00fczenlemesi nedeniyle ekonomi, ki\u015filere kendi elektriklerini \u00fcretme f\u0131rsat\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131yla kalk\u0131nma, elektrik tarifelerindeki s\u00fcbvansiyon nedeniyle maliye politikalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan da kritik rol oynayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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01<\/div>\n
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T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7at\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi potansiyeli en az 120 GW<\/h4>\n

Toplam \u00e7at\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00fcne\u015f potansiyelinde n\u00fcfus a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan en b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00fc\u00e7 il \u0130stanbul (10,4 GW), Ankara (10,1 GW) ve \u0130zmir (9,3 GW) \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. D\u00fcz \u00e7at\u0131lar genellikle sanayi tesislerinin \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131 oldu\u011fu i\u00e7in n\u00fcfus a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan kalabal\u0131k olmamas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, Kocaeli (2,5 GW), Manisa (3,1 GW) ve Tekirda\u011f (1,9 GW) gibi sanayile\u015fmi\u015f iller d\u00fcz \u00e7at\u0131 potansiyelinde b\u00fcy\u00fck illerin hemen ard\u0131nda yer alm\u0131\u015flard\u0131r. \u0130llerde hane halklar\u0131n\u0131n ya\u015fad\u0131\u011f\u0131 bina tipleri de sonu\u00e7lara yans\u0131m\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. N\u00fcfus a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan 31. il olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, n\u00fcfusun yar\u0131dan fazlas\u0131n\u0131n iki veya daha az katl\u0131 binalarda ikamet etti\u011fi Afyon 2,8 GW e\u011fimli \u00e7at\u0131 potansiyeli ile bu kategoride d\u00f6rd\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131radad\u0131r. \u00c7at\u0131lar\u0131n uygunluk oran\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, %40\u2019\u0131n \u00fcst\u00fcnde uygunluk oranlar\u0131yla \u00f6zellikle U\u015fak, Afyon, Eski\u015fehir ve K\u00fctahya gibi \u0130\u00e7 ve \u0130\u00e7 Bat\u0131 Anadolu illeri \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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\u00c7at\u0131lardaki potansiyel toplam elektrik t\u00fcketiminin %45\u2019ini kar\u015f\u0131layabilir<\/h4>\n

\u0130stanbul 11,4 TWh\u2019lik \u00fcretim potansiyeli ile g\u00fcne\u015f potansiyeli daha y\u00fcksek olan Ankara (12,5 TWh) ve \u0130zmir\u2019in (12,4 TWh) gerisindedir. \u00dc\u00e7 b\u00fcy\u00fck ili Konya (8,6 TWh) takip ederken, kapasite potansiyeli s\u0131ralamas\u0131na benzer olarak Manisa (6,4 TWh), Bursa (5,4 TWh), Afyon (5,3 TWh) ve Bal\u0131kesir (4,7 TWh) de yine kendisine \u00f6n s\u0131ralarda yer bulmu\u015ftur. \u00c7at\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc elektrik \u00fcretimi potansiyelinin faturalanan elektrik t\u00fcketimini kar\u015f\u0131lama oranlar\u0131na bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, elektrik t\u00fcketiminin iki kat\u0131ndan y\u00fcksek potansiyele sahip Afyon, \u00c7orum, I\u011fd\u0131r, K\u0131r\u015fehir ve Yozgat gibi iller \u00f6n plana \u00e7\u0131kmaktad\u0131r. B\u00fcy\u00fck\u015fehirlerden Konya (%113), Ankara (%88) ve \u0130zmir\u2019in (%76) de \u00e7at\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc elektrik \u00fcretimi potansiyeli faturalanan elektrik t\u00fcketimlerini kar\u015f\u0131lamada y\u00fcksek seviyelerdedir.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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D\u00fcnyada \u00e7at\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc kurulumlar\u0131 yeni g\u00fcne\u015f kapasitesinin yar\u0131s\u0131na ula\u015ft\u0131<\/h4>\n

2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda d\u00fcnyada toplam 239 GW\u2019l\u0131k yeni g\u00fcne\u015f kapasitesi eklenirken bunun yar\u0131s\u0131na yak\u0131n\u0131 (118 GW) \u00e7at\u0131lara kurulmu\u015ftur. Dolay\u0131s\u0131yla 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda yeni kurulan \u00e7at\u0131 \u00fcst\u00fc g\u00fcne\u015f santralleri bir \u00f6nceki y\u0131la g\u00f6re %49 art\u0131\u015f kaydetmi\u015ftir. 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 itibariyle ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen g\u00fcne\u015f kapasitesinde d\u00fcnya lideri olan Avustralya\u2019da her \u00fc\u00e7 evden birinin \u00e7at\u0131s\u0131nda g\u00fcne\u015f santrali bulunurken Avustralya\u2019n\u0131n hemen arkas\u0131ndan gelen Hollanda\u2019da ise g\u00fcne\u015ften elektrik \u00fcretiminin %40\u2019\u0131 konut \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131ndan elde edilmektedir. Ki\u015fi ba\u015f\u0131na d\u00fc\u015fen g\u00fcne\u015f kapasitesinde \u00fc\u00e7\u00fcnc\u00fc s\u0131radaki Almanya\u2019da ise bug\u00fcne dek her y\u0131l kurulan yeni g\u00fcne\u015f santrallerinin %60\u2019\u0131ndan fazlas\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131lara kurulmakta olup kimi y\u0131llar bu oran %80\u2019in \u00fcst\u00fcne \u00e7\u0131kabilmektedir. Avrupa Birli\u011fi\u2019nde 2022 y\u0131l\u0131 sonu itibariyle g\u00fcne\u015f kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn %66\u2019s\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131lardad\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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\u00c7at\u0131lar T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de konutlardaki 3,6 milyar dolarl\u0131k s\u00fcbvansiyonu azaltabilir<\/h4>\n

Resmi a\u00e7\u0131klamalarda da ifade edildi\u011fi \u00fczere, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de elektrik tarifelerinde s\u00fcbvansiyon uygulanmaktad\u0131r. Elektrik tarifesinin en d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck oldu\u011fu t\u00fcketici tipi olan meskenlerde, Eyl\u00fcl 2022\u2019den A\u011fustos 2023\u2019e ge\u00e7en 12 ayl\u0131k s\u00fcrede s\u00fcbvansiyon miktar\u0131 yakla\u015f\u0131k 3,6 milyar dolara ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye elektrik \u00fcretiminde d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131d\u0131r. Bu a\u00e7\u0131dan de\u011ferlendirildi\u011finde, T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00f6zellikle konutlarda \u00e7at\u0131 GES\u2019in yayg\u0131nla\u015fmas\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flayacak politikalar, fosil kaynakl\u0131 ithalat\u0131 azaltarak elektri\u011fin \u00fclke \u00fczerindeki ger\u00e7ek maliyetini azaltmay\u0131 sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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D\u00fcnyada uygulanan enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc politikalar\u0131na bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda \u00f6nceli\u011fin \u00e7at\u0131lara verildi\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. G\u00fcne\u015fte iddial\u0131 hedefleri olan T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131, mevcut g\u00fcne\u015f kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fcn\u00fcn on kat\u0131na yak\u0131n bir potansiyel bar\u0131nd\u0131r\u0131yor. Mevcut \u00e7at\u0131lardaki potansiyele ek olarak T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de her y\u0131l on binlerce yeni bina in\u015fa ediliyor, deprem b\u00f6lgesinin yeniden in\u015fas\u0131 nedeniyle bu say\u0131 daha da artacak. Yeni binalara ve kamu binalar\u0131na panel y\u00fck\u00fcml\u00fcl\u00fcklerinin getirilmesi ile belediyelerin uygun apartman binas\u0131 \u00e7at\u0131 alanlar\u0131n\u0131 ihale etmesi, hem enerjideki hedeflere ula\u015fmam\u0131z\u0131, hem de ki\u015filerin kendi elektriklerini ucuza \u00fcretmesini sa\u011flayabilir.<\/p>\n

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\u200d<\/strong>B\u00f6lge Lideri, Ember<\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Mevcut durum<\/h3>\n

Herkesin yarar\u0131na olacak bir f\u0131rsat olarak \u00e7at\u0131larda g\u00fcne\u015f santrali<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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\u00c7at\u0131larda kurulabilecek g\u00fcne\u015f santralleri yaln\u0131zca enerji ve \u00e7evre politikalar\u0131 a\u00e7\u0131s\u0131ndan de\u011fil; sanayi, b\u00fcy\u00fcme, kalk\u0131nma ve maliye politikalar\u0131 y\u00f6n\u00fcnden de T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye fayda sa\u011flayacakt\u0131r.<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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G\u00fcne\u015fin pay\u0131 potansiyelin gerisinde<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, Avrupa \u00fclkelerinin \u00e7o\u011fundan daha y\u00fcksek g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi potansiyeline<\/a> sahip olmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, bu durum hen\u00fcz elektrik \u00fcretimine yans\u0131m\u0131\u015f de\u011fildir. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de g\u00fcne\u015fin elektrik \u00fcretimindeki pay\u0131 2022 y\u0131l\u0131nda %4,7\u2019lik oranla<\/a> Hollanda (%14), Estonya (%6,3), Danimarka (%5,8) gibi T\u00fcrkiye\u2019ye k\u0131yasla daha d\u00fc\u015f\u00fck potansiyel ve y\u00fcz\u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcm\u00fcne sahip olan kuzey Avrupa \u00fclkelerinden geride kalm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n

2023 y\u0131l\u0131n\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda da bu durum de\u011fi\u015fiklik g\u00f6stermemi\u015ftir. Y\u0131l\u0131n ilk yar\u0131s\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de g\u00fcne\u015fin elektrik \u00fcretimindeki pay\u0131 %5,7<\/a> ile ge\u00e7ti\u011fimiz y\u0131l\u0131n ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemine k\u0131yasla y\u00fckselme g\u00f6sterse de, ayn\u0131 d\u00f6nemde bir ba\u015fka kuzey \u00fclkesi Polonya\u2019n\u0131n gerisindedir (%6,6<\/a>). G\u00fcne\u015fin elektrik \u00fcretimindeki pay\u0131 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda %1\u2019in dahi alt\u0131nda<\/a> olan Polonya, 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi ge\u00e7meyi ba\u015farm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00e7at\u0131 g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin durumu<\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de \u00e7at\u0131 g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi santrali (GES) kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fc resmi istatistiklerde yer almad\u0131\u011f\u0131 i\u00e7in bilinmemektedir. \u00d6zt\u00fcketim amac\u0131yla kurulmu\u015f olan lisanss\u0131z g\u00fcne\u015f santrallerinin kurulu g\u00fc\u00e7teki pay\u0131 bilinse de, bu santrallerin arazi \u00fcst\u00fcne kurulumu da m\u00fcmk\u00fcnd\u00fcr. Toplam g\u00fcne\u015f kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fcne bak\u0131ld\u0131\u011f\u0131nda, son be\u015f y\u0131ld\u0131r her y\u0131l ortalama 1,2 GW\u2019l\u0131k kapasite eklendi\u011fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir. 2023 y\u0131l\u0131nda ise Kas\u0131m sonu itibariyle 1,8 GW\u2019l\u0131k yeni g\u00fcne\u015f santrali devreye al\u0131narak toplam g\u00fcne\u015f kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fc 11,2 GW\u2019a ula\u015fm\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/p>\n

\u00c7at\u0131 GES\u2019ler gerek elektrik \u00fcretiminin t\u00fcketim ile ayn\u0131 noktada ger\u00e7ekle\u015fmesi, gerekse elektrik talebinin yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu yerle\u015fim yerlerine yak\u0131nl\u0131klar\u0131 nedeniyle elektrik sistemi \u015febekesinin y\u00f6netimini kolayla\u015ft\u0131rmaktad\u0131r. Bu nedenle bir\u00e7ok \u00fclkede \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131n elektrik \u00fcretimi i\u00e7in \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7acak ad\u0131mlar at\u0131lmaktad\u0131r. T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de de 2019 y\u0131l\u0131nda yay\u0131nlanan ayl\u0131k mahsupla\u015fma d\u00fczenlemesi<\/a> \u00e7at\u0131 GES\u2019in \u00f6n\u00fcn\u00fc a\u00e7maya y\u00f6nelik \u00f6nemli uygulamalardan biri olmu\u015ftur.<\/p>\n

Y\u00f6netmelik de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle beraber \u00f6zt\u00fcketim amac\u0131yla kurulan g\u00fcne\u015f santralleri mesken \u00e7at\u0131lar\u0131nda olmalar\u0131 ko\u015fuluyla \u00fcretim lisans\u0131 alma ya da \u015firket kurma zorunlulu\u011fundan muaf tutulmu\u015flard\u0131r. Ayr\u0131ca ayl\u0131k mahsupla\u015fma hakk\u0131 ile t\u00fcketim fazlas\u0131 elektri\u011fin t\u00fcketicinin ba\u011fl\u0131 bulundu\u011fu tarife \u00fczerinden sat\u0131larak fazladan gelir elde etme imkan\u0131 elde edilmi\u015ftir. Ancak \u00f6zt\u00fcketim ama\u00e7l\u0131 tesisleri \u00e7at\u0131 ve cephe uygulamalar\u0131yla s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131ran bu d\u00fczenlemenin g\u00fcne\u015f kurulu g\u00fcc\u00fcndeki art\u0131\u015f e\u011filiminde yeni bir ivme yaratmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 g\u00f6r\u00fclmektedir.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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