{"id":8812,"date":"2022-10-04T10:25:00","date_gmt":"2022-10-04T10:25:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/analizler\/energy-independence-only-comes-with-clean"},"modified":"2025-03-13T18:47:14","modified_gmt":"2025-03-13T18:47:14","slug":"enerji-bagimsizligi-ancak-temiz-enerji-ile-mumkun","status":"publish","type":"insight_page","link":"https:\/\/ember-energy.org\/tr\/analizler\/enerji-bagimsizligi-ancak-temiz-enerji-ile-mumkun\/","title":{"rendered":"Enerji ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ancak temiz enerji ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Enerji ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131\u011f\u0131 ancak temiz enerji ile m\u00fcmk\u00fcn<\/h1>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, elektrik \u00fcretiminin yar\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 ithal fosil yak\u0131tlarla ger\u00e7ekle\u015ftiriyor. Temiz enerji kaynaklar\u0131na daha h\u0131zl\u0131 bir ge\u00e7i\u015fle bu oran 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar yar\u0131ya indirilebilir. \u00d6zellikle g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi bu d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fcn hayati bir par\u00e7as\u0131 olacak.<\/p>\n

Mevcut diller: English<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<\/h4>\n <\/div>\n\n\n

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4 Ekim 2022<\/div>\n
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10 dakika okuma s\u00fcresi<\/strong><\/div>\n
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\n Ufuk Alparslan
<\/strong>\n Regional Lead\n Ember <\/em>\n <\/div>\n<\/a>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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\u0130\u00e7indekiler<\/h3>\n
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<\/div>\n Y\u00f6netici \u00f6zeti<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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<\/div>\n Arka plan<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n \u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ile m\u00fccadeleye ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel anla\u015fma<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n T\u00fcrkiye 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 onaylad\u0131 ve net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefini belirledi<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n Net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefi g\u00fcncellenmi\u015f bir emisyon azalt\u0131m plan\u0131 gerektiriyor<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n G\u00fcncel emisyon azalt\u0131m plan\u0131 yeni bir enerji plan\u0131 gerektiriyor<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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+<\/div>\n
<\/div>\n Karbonsuzla\u015fmaya giden yollar<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n D\u00f6rt farkl\u0131 model<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n Enerji verimlili\u011fi karbonsuzla\u015fmada \u00f6nemli bir rol oynayabilir<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n G\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi t\u00fcm senaryolarda y\u00fckseli\u015fe ge\u00e7iyor<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n R\u00fczgar kapasitesinin \u00fc\u00e7 kat\u0131na \u00e7\u0131kar\u0131lmas\u0131 gerekiyor<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n Di\u011fer yenilenebilir enerji kaynaklar\u0131n\u0131n rol\u00fc<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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<\/div>\n Karbonsuzla\u015fma = Ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131k<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n T\u00fcrkiye b\u00fcy\u00fck \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n R\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi 2030’a kadar \u00fc\u00e7te birlik pay\u0131 a\u015facak<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n Temiz enerjinin bir\u00e7ok faydas\u0131<\/a>\n
Read Section \uf061<\/span>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n \n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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<\/div>\n Ek materyal<\/a>\n
\n B\u00f6l\u00fcm\u00fc okuyun\n \uf061<\/span><\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n \n\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n
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Hakk\u0131nda<\/h2>\n
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Bu \u00e7al\u0131\u015fma, T\u00fcrkiye elektrik sistemi \u00fczerinde yak\u0131n zamanda yap\u0131lan modelleme \u00e7al\u0131\u015fmalar\u0131n\u0131n rehberli\u011finde, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na do\u011fru \u00e7e\u015fitli elektrik d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc projeksiyonlar\u0131n\u0131n bir \u00f6zetini sunmaktad\u0131r. \u00c7al\u0131\u015fman\u0131n\u00a0 sonu\u00e7lar\u0131, Enerji Bakanl\u0131\u011f\u0131’n\u0131n T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2053 net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefiyle uyumlu olmas\u0131 \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclen yeni uzun vadeli enerji plan\u0131nda belirlenecek hedeflere rehberlik etmeyi ama\u00e7lamaktad\u0131r.<\/span><\/h4>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Medyada \u00f6ne \u00e7\u0131kanlar<\/h3>\n \n Anadolu Agency (TR)\n \"\"\n <\/a>\n \n Yeni \u015eafak\n \"\"\n <\/a>\n \n Milliyet\n \"\"\n <\/a>\n \n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n\n
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Y\u00f6netici \u00f6zeti<\/span><\/h3>\n

\u0130ddial\u0131 bir temiz enerji plan\u0131 T\u00fcrkiye’nin ithal fosile ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 azaltacakt\u0131r<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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T\u00fcrkiye 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda 2053\u2019e kadar ula\u015fmay\u0131 ama\u00e7lad\u0131\u011f\u0131 net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefini a\u00e7\u0131klad\u0131. \u015eimdi \u00fclkenin uzun vadeli enerji plan\u0131n\u0131 buna uygun hale getirmesi gerekiyor. Net s\u0131f\u0131r plan\u0131yla uyumlu bir enerji sistemi sadece elektri\u011fi karbonsuzla\u015ft\u0131rmakla kalmayacak, ayn\u0131 zamanda T\u00fcrkiye\u2019yi daha ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131z hale getirecektir.<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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T\u00fcrkiye 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar elektrik \u00fcretiminde ithal fosil yak\u0131tlara ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 yar\u0131ya indirebilir<\/h4>\n

T\u00fcrkiye 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda elektri\u011finin %50\u2019sini ithal k\u00f6m\u00fcr ve do\u011falgazdan \u00fcretmi\u015ftir. H\u0131zland\u0131r\u0131lm\u0131\u015f bir temiz enerji d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015f\u00fcm\u00fc ile \u00fclke 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar elektrik \u00fcretiminde d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131 %25\u2019in alt\u0131na d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrebilir. Ancak bunun i\u00e7in r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisinin toplam elektrik \u00fcretiminin \u00fc\u00e7te birinden fazlas\u0131n\u0131 olu\u015fturmas\u0131 gerekiyor.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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Elektrik \u00fcretiminde d\u0131\u015fa ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yar\u0131ya indirmek i\u00e7in toplam 40 GW g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi kapasitesine ihtiya\u00e7 var<\/h4>\n

T\u00fcrkiye\u2019de fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yar\u0131ya d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcrmek i\u00e7in 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar her y\u0131l yakla\u015f\u0131k 4 GW yeni g\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi kapasitesine ihtiya\u00e7 duyulacakt\u0131r. G\u00fcne\u015f enerjisi ihalelerine ihale edilen kapasiteden 10-15 kat daha b\u00fcy\u00fck kapasite ba\u015fvurular\u0131 yap\u0131lmas\u0131na ra\u011fmen, yak\u0131n zamandaki g\u00fcne\u015f kurulumlar\u0131 y\u0131lda sadece 1 GW civar\u0131nda seyretmektedir. Yerli panel \u00fcretim kapasitesi ise bunun sekiz kat\u0131 seviyesindedir.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n

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2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar toplam en az 30 GW r\u00fczgar enerjisi kapasitesine ihtiya\u00e7 var<\/h4>\n

Fosil yak\u0131t ithalat\u0131na ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131 yar\u0131ya indirmek i\u00e7in, A\u011fustos 2022 itibariyle 11,1 GW olan r\u00fczgar enerjisi kapasitesinin 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar yakla\u015f\u0131k \u00fc\u00e7 kat artmas\u0131 gerekmektedir. Bu, 2030 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar her y\u0131l yakla\u015f\u0131k 2,5 GW yeni r\u00fczgar enerjisi kapasitesinin eklenmesi anlam\u0131na gelecektir. Son y\u0131llardaki yakla\u015f\u0131k 1 GW\u2019l\u0131k y\u0131ll\u0131k r\u00fczgar enerjisi kurulumlar\u0131 d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcn\u00fcld\u00fc\u011f\u00fcnde bu oran \u00f6nemli \u00f6l\u00e7\u00fcde daha y\u00fcksektir.<\/p>\n\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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“”K\u00f6m\u00fcr ve do\u011falgaz gibi fosil yak\u0131tlara ba\u011f\u0131ml\u0131 olman\u0131n ne kadar riskli ve g\u00fcvenilmez oldu\u011fu son aylarda d\u00fcnyada ya\u015fanan geli\u015fmelerle iyice ortaya \u00e7\u0131kt\u0131. Buna kar\u015f\u0131 \u00e7\u00f6z\u00fcm ucuz ve temiz enerji kaynaklar\u0131 r\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f. R\u00fczgar ve g\u00fcne\u015f \u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fczdeki y\u0131llarda T\u00fcrkiye gibi enerji kaynaklar\u0131 k\u0131s\u0131tl\u0131 olan \u00fclkelerin enerjide ba\u011f\u0131ms\u0131zl\u0131klar\u0131n\u0131 sa\u011flamas\u0131nda \u00f6nc\u00fc rol oynayacak.”<\/p>\n

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Ufuk Alparslan
\u200d<\/strong>Regional Lead – T\u00fcrkiye, Central Asia and the Caucasus, Ember<\/div>\n <\/a>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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Arka plan<\/span><\/h3>\n

T\u00fcrkiye 2053 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefliyor<\/h2>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n
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T\u00fcrkiye, Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 imzalad\u0131ktan alt\u0131 y\u0131l sonra, 2021\u2019de onaylad\u0131. Meclis\u2019in bu karar\u0131n\u0131 ise net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefinin a\u00e7\u0131klanmas\u0131 takip etti. Ancak \u015fimdi net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefine ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in g\u00fcvenilir bir plana ihtiyac\u0131 var.<\/h3>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/a>\n\n\n
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\u0130klim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi ile m\u00fccadeleye ili\u015fkin k\u00fcresel anla\u015fma<\/h4>\n

Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fi konusunda yasal olarak ba\u011flay\u0131c\u0131 uluslararas\u0131 bir anla\u015fmad\u0131r.<\/span><\/a> 196 Taraf, anla\u015fmay\u0131 12 Aral\u0131k 2015 tarihinde Paris’te d\u00fczenlenen COP 21’de imzalam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Anla\u015fma 4 Kas\u0131m 2016 tarihinde y\u00fcr\u00fcrl\u00fc\u011fe girmi\u015ftir. Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n amac\u0131, k\u00fcresel \u0131s\u0131nmay\u0131 2<\/span>o<\/span>C’nin olduk\u00e7a alt\u0131nda s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rmak ve sanayile\u015fme \u00f6ncesi seviyelere k\u0131yasla 1.5\u00b0C art\u0131\u015f ile s\u0131n\u0131rland\u0131rma \u00e7abalar\u0131n\u0131 s\u00fcrd\u00fcrmektir.<\/span><\/p>\n

Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131, t\u00fcm taraflar\u0131n ulusal olarak belirlenmi\u015f katk\u0131lar (NDC’ler) yoluyla ellerinden gelen \u00e7abay\u0131 ortaya koymalar\u0131n\u0131 gerektirmektedir. \u00dclkeler NDC\u2019lerinde Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131’n\u0131n ama\u00e7lar\u0131na ula\u015fmak i\u00e7in belirli bir emisyon azaltma hedefi ile iklim eylem planlar\u0131n\u0131 sunarlar. Anla\u015fma, iklim de\u011fi\u015fikli\u011fiyle m\u00fccadele i\u00e7in \u00fclkeler taraf\u0131ndan kademeli olarak daha iddial\u0131 hedeflerin sunuldu\u011fu be\u015f y\u0131ll\u0131k bir d\u00f6ng\u00fcde i\u015flemektedir.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131’n\u0131n kabul\u00fcnden \u00f6nce Var\u015fova’da d\u00fczenlenen COP19’da al\u0131nan karar uyar\u0131nca bir\u00e7ok \u00fclke 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda ulusal olarak belirlenmi\u015f katk\u0131lar\u0131n\u0131 (INDC) sunmu\u015ftur. Bu INDC’ler daha sonra Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131n imzalanmas\u0131n\u0131 takiben NDC’ler olarak de\u011ferlendirilmi\u015ftir.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/a>\n\n\n

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T\u00fcrkiye 2021 y\u0131l\u0131nda Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 onaylad\u0131 ve net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefini belirledi<\/h4>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, anla\u015fman\u0131n ekinde geli\u015fmi\u015f bir \u00fclke olarak kategorize edilmeyi reddetti\u011finden<\/span><\/a> Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131’n\u0131n ilk imzac\u0131lar\u0131 aras\u0131nda yer almas\u0131na ra\u011fmen anla\u015fmay\u0131 2021 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar onaylamam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Bu kategorizasyona olan muhalefet, \u00f6zellikle T\u00fcrkiye\u2019nin geli\u015fmekte olan \u00fclkeler i\u00e7in sa\u011flanan mali destekten yararlanmaks\u0131z\u0131n emisyon azaltma hedeflerini kar\u015f\u0131lamas\u0131n\u0131 gerektirmesi sebebiyle ortaya \u00e7\u0131km\u0131\u015ft\u0131r. Ancak 2021’in sonlar\u0131nda T\u00fcrk h\u00fck\u00fcmeti bu talebinden vazge\u00e7erek <\/span>Paris Anla\u015fmas\u0131\u2019n\u0131 onaylam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r<\/span><\/a>. Ard\u0131ndan da T\u00fcrkiye Cumhuriyeti’nin 130. y\u0131ld\u00f6n\u00fcm\u00fcne denk gelecek \u015fekilde <\/span>2053 y\u0131l\u0131na kadar net s\u0131f\u0131ra ula\u015fma hedefini a\u00e7\u0131klam\u0131\u015ft\u0131r.<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n<\/a>\n\n\n

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Net s\u0131f\u0131r hedefi g\u00fcncellenmi\u015f bir emisyon azalt\u0131m plan\u0131 gerektiriyor<\/h4>\n

T\u00fcrkiye, 2015 y\u0131l\u0131nda bir emisyon azalt\u0131m plan\u0131 (INDC veya Niyet Edilen Ulusal Olarak Belirlenmi\u015f Katk\u0131) sunmu\u015f ve o zamandan beri bunu g\u00fcncellememi\u015ftir. <\/span>INDC<\/span><\/a>‘sinde T\u00fcrkiye, sera gaz\u0131 emisyonlar\u0131n\u0131 2030 y\u0131l\u0131nda kendi tan\u0131mlad\u0131\u011f\u0131 Baz Senaryo\u2019ya<\/span> (<\/span><\/a>BAU) g\u00f6re %21 oran\u0131nda azaltmay\u0131 hedeflemi\u015ftir. 2030’da 929 MtCO2e toplam y\u0131ll\u0131k emisyon hedefleyen <\/span>T\u00fcrkiye’nin 2020’deki toplam<\/span><\/a> emisyonlar\u0131na k\u0131yasla bu, %77’lik bir art\u0131\u015f anlam\u0131na gelmektedir.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n \n <\/div>\n <\/div>\n\n\n <\/div>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

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