Home batteries could cut Indian households' daytime rooftop solar exports by 85–90%, but would need incentives to make it financially viable | Ember

Home batteries could cut Indian households’ daytime rooftop solar exports by 85–90%, but would need incentives to make it financially viable

22 Oct 2026

Ember’s analysis finds that pairing rooftop systems with batteries would turn this growing, hard-to-forecast flow of exports into a source of flexibility for the power system, and that subsidising hybrid rooftop systems for even half of the scheme’s current 10 million target in the next tranche would build 15–25 gigawatt-hours (GWh) of distributed storage.

“India’s rooftop solar boom is an opportunity to get ahead of the grid challenge, rather than wait for it to arrive. With more than 5 million households already adopting rooftop solar under PM Surya Ghar, we should be building storage alongside that capacity, not years later,” said Ruchita Shah, Energy Analyst, Asia at Ember. “The experience of markets like Australia and the US shows that as rooftop solar scales, its value increasingly depends on when its electricity is used, not just how much it generates. India can learn that lesson early, making batteries a win for consumers and the grid.”

India’s rooftop solar boom is an opportunity to get ahead of the grid challenge, rather than wait for it to arrive. With more than 5 million households already adopting rooftop solar under PM Surya Ghar, we should be building storage alongside that capacity, not years later. The experience of markets like Australia and the US shows that as rooftop solar scales, its value increasingly depends on when its electricity is used, not just how much it generates. India can learn that lesson early, making batteries a win for consumers and the grid.

Ruchita Shah
‍
Energy Analyst, Asia at Ember

Under India’s net metering framework, a unit of solar exported at noon is credited one-to-one against a unit consumed in the evening. Electricity distribution companies (DISCOMs) therefore have to credit cheap daytime exports against power they may have to buy at a far higher price.

Because households can bank unlimited surplus solar and withdraw it at any time, they have no financial reason to add a battery. Ember modelled a 3 kW rooftop system for a household using 350 units a month. Solar alone costs INR 87,000 after the INR 78,000 PM Surya Ghar subsidy and pays back in 3.3 years. Adding a 5 kWh battery cuts daytime exports by 85–90% – around 1,600–1,800 units a year shifted to the evening – but raises the overall system cost and stretches payback period to nine years. The grid gains, the consumer does not, building a case for financial incentive to the households.

For example, a 50% subsidy on battery capital costs, would bring payback for a solar-plus-battery system down to 6.3 years. Ember proposes delivering it through the next tranche of PM Surya Ghar: Muft Bijli Yojana. Subsidising hybrid systems for even half of the current scheme’s 10 million target would create 15–25 GWh of distributed storage. States could follow Tamil Nadu and Bihar in topping up the central subsidy, but direct that top-up at the battery cost gap rather than solar alone.

Batteries installed now would also prepare households for reforms that might be applicable in the future. The analysis considers two such scenarios, in the first one, it finds that with a 40% cap on banked exports, a subsidised hybrid rooftop solar system would pay back in 6.5 years. In the second scenario, if banked solar could not be withdrawn during the 6–10 pm peak and a 20% peak surcharge applied, payback would be 5.7 years after including subsidies. Notably, home batteries would also enable consumers to participate in the future demand response programmes.

Kerala, Maharashtra and Uttar Pradesh have begun exploring rooftop solar-plus-battery systems, and the Central Electricity Authority has suggested DISCOMs could mandate two hours of storage alongside rooftop installations. Ember’s analysis argues that a targeted subsidy would address the upfront cost barrier so that policy and regulatory changes can be made without stalling the rooftop boom.

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Ember is an independent energy think tank that aims to accelerate the clean energy transition with data and policy. It creates targeted data insights to advance policies that urgently shift the world to a clean, electrified energy future.

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