Satellite analysis identifies 40% more methane from Australian coal mines | Ember

Satellite analysis identifies 40% more methane from Australian coal mines

A collaborative satellite-comparison of Australia’s coal mine methane emissions reveals higher greenhouse gases than officially reported

16 Apr 2025
47 Minutes Read
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Chris Wright
Climate Strategy Advisor
Ember
Dody Setiawan
Senior Analyst Climate and Energy
Ember
Sarah Shannon
Satellite Analyst, Coal Mine Methane
Ember

Highlights

40%
Satellite estimates of Australia’s black coal identified 40% more methane
2x NSW
Fugitive emissions in NSW were twice as high as official reporting, covering only half the coal
4-6x
Emissions estimates from open-cut mines in NSW reduced by 4-6x following site-specific estimation shift

Executive Summary

Satellite data shows 40% more emissions than national reports

Satellite examination of mines responsible for less than four-fifths of Australia’s coal production found that these mines emit 40% more than Australia’s reported total.

Australia’s coal mine methane emissions reporting remains under a cloud of international scrutiny. Building on a body of nationally reported data, peer-reviewed satellite assessments, and independent estimates from Kayrros, Ember assessed coal mine methane emissions across six key coal mining clusters.

The preliminary results of this study, which cover approximately four-fifths of Australia’s black coal production, indicate fugitive methane levels at least 40% higher than officially reported for the country as a whole. In New South Wales (NSW), which has largely shifted emissions reporting of open-cut mining towards company-led estimates, this study found fugitive emissions levels twice as high as officially reported, whilst only covering two-thirds of total coal production.

Critically, this study’s areas included more than 90% of Australia’s metallurgical coal production, indicating significant potential for emissions uncertainty within the key steelmaking coal supply chains.

01

40% higher fugitive methane

Satellite estimates, covering only 79% of Australia’s black coal production, identified 40% more fugitive methane than officially reported in 2020.

02

Twice NSW fugitive estimate

State-based estimates of coal fugitives, covering 60 to 64% of the state’s coal output, indicated methane levels 90% higher in 2020 and 106% higher in 2021.

03

Metallurgical coal uncertainty

These satellite estimates incorporate more than 90% of Australia’s metallurgical coal production, indicating significant levels of emissions uncertainty could be embedded within international steel supply chains.

These preliminary findings come after a year-long national inquiry into methane measurement approaches, during which the government appointed an Expert Panel to provide advice on atmospheric measurement of fugitive methane emissions in Australia and has now initiated a departmental review of the impact of company-led emissions reporting.

This study highlights the critical nature of both reviews. It finds that without significant changes to Australia’s existing coal mine methane reporting inventory, Australia’s policymakers and international steel-making supply chains will remain in the dark about the total scale of Australia’s coal mine methane emissions.

Australia’s coal mine methane emissions remain under a cloud of international scrutiny. These findings highlight that if we don’t improve reporting, not only could our own emissions accounting be inaccurate, but our international customers can’t know for certain what the scale of emissions lie embedded in their supply chains.

Satellite estimates, including the one generated for this report, all point to the same finding: there is a significant gap between reported emissions and satellite-based estimates. It is crucial to close this knowledge gap to better understand where emission reductions can be made. Given methane’s high global warming potential, improving reporting is essential for identifying and implementing effective mitigation strategies.

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